Laurence
Draper, of the British National Institute of Oceanography, has long insisted
it’s no old wives’ tale that every fifth, or seventh, or ninth wave is larger
than the others. Sea systems are composed of many different wave trains, he
says, each with its own speed and height.
So, at
random intervals, waves can ride on each other’s backs to form an exceptionally
high wave — and it doesn’t have to be blowing hard. Draper estimates that one
wave in 23 is twice the average height; one in 1,175 is three times higher; and
one in 300,000 is more than four times higher.
But
it’s the height of the breaking crest that’s the greatest threat to small
sailboats. Luckily, the size of the crest does not necessarily relate to the
size of the wave in deep open water.
Watch
out for more frequent giant waves when you’re in a strong ocean current. Winds
blowing against the current create the biggest and steepest waves.
Today’s Thought
Under every deep a lower deep opens.— Emerson, Essays, First Series: Circles
Tailpiece
According to the cynics among us, a platonic relationship is the interval between
the introduction and the first grope.
(Drop by every Monday,
Wednesday, Friday for a new Mainly about Boats column.)
1 comment:
This is fascinating stuff, John, and it's neat to see how much scientific interest has been directed at "rogue" waves in the last decade or so.
The nonlinearity aspects in particular are proving to be worth a look; it seems that the biggest waves aren't just a simple summation (wave on top of wave) but are in fact extracting energy from the rest of the wave system to make one individual wave higher and steeper. There are models now that suggest that eddy currents can act as lenses of a sort, causing several wave systems to converge and combine in this fashion. Very cool (as long as you're not caught in the path of one).
(Some interesting further reading: Ying et al 2011,
http://arxiv.org/abs/1207.2162 )
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